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« Two children die, babysitter injured in duplex fire: Fire sprinklers could have made a difference | Main | Fire destroys WV model home: Sprinklers may have made a difference »

10/17/2012

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why dont you post the research paper done by the Fire Protection Research Foundation in support of the NFPA (National Fire Protection Agency). It was specifically written for what community impacts would be in reference to sprinklers and water flow.

In it you can point out two important statistics:
1. The odds of a single family home having a fire is .34% (less than ½ of 1%) (page 37)and 2. The average number of years before a home has a fire is 288 years. (page 38)

If you wish to down load the research in its entirety go to the following web site.

http://www.nfpa.org/assets/files/Research%20Foundation/RFFireFlowWaterConsumption.pdf

Mr. Robertson:

As a point of clarification, you should know that we are the National Fire Protection Association, not Agency.

It is not unusual for fire sprinkler opponents to misrepresent NFPA statistics, or to cite them out of context to justify their opposition. I am not a statistician and to properly answer your comment I counted on the expertise of Dr. John Hall, NFPA's Director of Fire Analysis and Research. His comments follow:

"0.34% is the likelihood of having a fire in a single-family home in one year. You will be living in a single-family home for more than 50 years. In that time, your chances of having a fire will rise to about 50 x 0.34% = 17% or about one in six. Same odds you get playing Russian roulette. Are the odds for Russian roulette acceptably low? I would say no and I suspect everyone reading this would, too."

"The same number can seem very high or very low, based solely on how it is stated and what context is provided. The number you provided is designed to sound low and with no context, it does sound low. Provide the context and it doesn’t seem low at all."

"Are we safe enough from fires that we don’t need to do anything else to be safer? Most people would say no. If they say no, they’d like to know about sprinklers, a practical, affordable technology that will lower all your fire-related risks by much more than anything else out there. The FSI blog is here for those people."

The Fire Protection Research Foundation report is prominently posted on the NFPA website and a blog post appeared here early last month: http://nfpa.typepad.com/firesprinklerinitiative/2012/10/fire-sprinklered-buildings-vs-unsprinklered-buildings-what-is-the-impact-on-community-water-consumpt.html

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